Skip to main navigation menu Skip to main content Skip to site footer

Computer Science

Vol 4 (2021): June

Forecasting Of Criminality Problems Using Double Exponential Smoothing Method
Peramalan Daerah Rawan Kriminalitas Menggunakan Metode Double Exponential Smoothing

(*) Corresponding Author
August 13, 2021


Crime is a form of social action that violates legal norms relating to acts of seizing property rights of others, disturbing public order and peace, and killing one or a group of people. This has always been a concern for residents in various places in the Ngoro sub-district, therefore this information system was created to help police officers to find out where crimes have occurred. This information sfystem was created to predict the area in Ngoro sub-district using the Double Exponential Smoothing method. So that this system can predict which areas in the next month there will be no crime, and can assist the public in reporting the occurrence of criminal acts without having to go to the police station first. The Double Exponential Smoothing method was chosen by the author because this method can be used. The data used is data on theft of crime from 2017 – 2019. The results of forecasting in one village in Ngoro sub-district such as Manduro are 0.07426431198 if rounded up to 0.1 which is categorized as low crime and has a MAPE value of 7.94%. Based on the MAPE value of the forecasting results, it can be concluded that a good constant is between 0.1 – 0.3.


  1. Indah Fitri Astuti, Ekky Fardinan, Addy Suyatno. Pemetaan Sosial Sebaran Kriminalitas di Kota Samarinda Berbasis Single Exponential Smoothing dan Sistem Informasi Geografis. SEBATIK STMK WICIDA.Ilmu Komputer, Fakultas Ilmu Komputer dan Teknologi Informasi, Universitas Mulawarman.
  2. Marfel A. Kaseger, Yaulie D.Y. Rindengan, Arie S.M. Lumenta.(2018). Aplikasi Pemetaan Daerah Rawan Kriminalitas di Manado Berbasis Web. Jurnal Teknik Informatika Vol. 3 , No. 2 (2018) ISSN : 2301-8364.
  3. Riyadul Fajri, Teuku Muhammad Johan. (2017). Implementasi Peramalan Double Exponential Smoothing Pada Kasus Kekerasan Anak di Pusat Pelayanan Terpadu Pemberdayaan Perempuan dan Anak. Jurnal Ecotipe, volume 4, nomor 2, Oktober 2017.
  4. Andrianto, Muhammad Jazman. (2018). Sistem Informasi Geografis Pemetaan Titik Lokasi Daerah Rawan Kriminalitas Kota Solok Studi Kasus Polres Solok Kota. Seminar Nasional Teknologi Informasi, Komunikasi dan Industri (SNTIKI-10) ISSN (Printed) : 2579-7271 Fakultas Sains dan Teknologi, UIN Sultan Syarif Kasim Riau ISSN (Online ) : 2579-5406 Pekanbaru,13 November 2018.


Download data is not yet available.